EPL Analysis and GW 26 Prediction

A data driven attempt in predicting English Premier League results using xG Statistics

This is an article on my EPL Prediction series. You can check out the prediction for Game Week 25 and how it fared against the actual performance here.

Game Week 26 Predictions

Before proceeding to the predictions, let me clarify that this is a very simple algorithm just based on past xG, so only baseline performance can be expected. The algorithm also fails to predict high scoring games. The model also does not take into account the team selection, absence of players due to injuries/suspension, formation, tactical changes etc.

GW 26 Predictions(Image by Author)
GW 26 predicted delta xG (Image by Author)

Predictions Vs Actual Results

Expectations vs Predictions
Photo by Jannik Skorna on Unsplash

Carpe Diem!

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