EPL Analysis and GW 31 Prediction

A data-driven attempt in predicting English Premier League results using xG Statistics

Analysis up to Game-week 31

EPL Table after GW30 (Image by Author)
xG scored and conceded per game (Image by Author)
xG Scored vs xG conceded(Image by Author)
Delta xG (Image by Author)
Delta xG (Image by Author)

Game Week 31 Predictions

Before proceeding to the predictions, let me clarify that this is a very simple algorithm just based on past xG, so only baseline performance can be expected. The algorithm also fails to predict high scoring games. The model also does not take into account the team selection, absence of players due to injuries/suspension, formation, tactical changes etc.

Predictions (Image by Author)

Predictions vs Actual Results

Predictions vs Actual

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