EPL Analysis and GW 29 Prediction

A data-driven attempt in predicting English Premier League results using xG Statistics

Analysis up to Game-week 28

Game Week 29 Predictions

Before proceeding to the predictions, let me clarify that this is a very simple algorithm just based on past xG, so only baseline performance can be expected. The algorithm also fails to predict high scoring games. The model also does not take into account the team selection, absence of players due to injuries/suspension, formation, tactical changes etc.

Update: Predictions Vs Actual Results

As mentioned during the predictions, this match had three games which were very difficult to predict with expected delta xG less than 0.1, which means its anybody’s game.

Photo by Fachry Zella Devandra on Unsplash



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