English Premier League: Analysis up to GW 7and GW8 Prediction

A data-driven attempt in predicting English Premier League results using xG Statistics

Abhijith Chandradas
5 min readOct 15, 2021

Expected Goals or xG is the parameter used for prediction. If you are interested in understanding the algorithm for prediction, I recommend that you check out this article where it is explained in detail.

Analysis up to Game Week 7

Going into the international break, after GW7, the Blues are on the top of the table with 16 points, 1 point clear of the Reds, who remains to be the only unbeaten side in the League.

Man United, Manchester City, Everton and Brighton are close behind with 14 points each.

The league is highly competitive and just 6 points separates top 11 teams.

Norwich finally managed to pick up a point from the stalemate at Turf Moor. Southampton, Newcastle and Burnley are also remain win-less so far.

The Reds have been the most attacking team so far creating more than 2.5xG per game. Manchester City is the only other team in the league which manage to create more than 2 xG per game. The Blues, the Hammers, the Toffees and the Red Devils have managed to create more than 1.5 xG per game. Newly promoted sides-Norwich…

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Abhijith Chandradas

Data Analyst | Hacker | Financial Analyst | Freelancer | IIM MBA | Opensource | Democratize Knowledge | https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLpBd4gzfIBXm2BPpdHOWdQ